ABP News-Nielsen survey,Delhi opinion poll survey Feb 2016,Delhi ABP News-Nielsen survey, ABP News-Nielsen Opinion poll latest 2016,Delhi survey result 2016,Opinion poll Delhi, Arvind Kejriwal , Narendra Modi ,Rahul Gandhi
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- Category: Delhi political News
- Last Updated: Saturday, 13 February 2016 15:14
ABP News-Nielsen survey,Delhi opinion poll survey Feb 2016,Delhi ABP News-Nielsen survey, ABP News-Nielsen Opinion poll latest 2016,Delhi survey result 2016,Opinion poll Delhi, Arvind Kejriwal,Narendra Modi ,Rahul Gandhi
Delhi Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal has not lost his charm among the people of Delhi, ABP News-Nilesen survey has revealed. If elections were held today, Kejriwal will still form a government with a massive mandate.
Though, he would not be able to repeat his performance of 67 seats, he would still surpass the 2/3rd majority. Moreover, Kejriwal has people’s backing in his schemes.
If elections were held today, Kejriwal would form a government with 48 seats. The vote share would a massive 47 per cent. Though, this would be far lesser than what the Aam Aadmi Party performed in 2015. The AAP had created history by winning 67 seats with a vote share of 54.5 per cent. However, despite the dip, the current numbers are still massive.
For the Bharatiya Janata Party, the news is really good but not good enough. From a shocking tally of 3 seats, they have jumped to 22 seats. But their success is as good as failure as the AAP would still form a majority government.
There is no good or bad news for Congress. Their score would be zero as it was in 2015.
| Delhi Seat Forecast | ||||||||
| Party | Actual vote % in the 2008 assembly | Actual seats in the 2008 assembly elections | Actual vote% in the 2013 assembly | Actual seats in the 2013 assembly elections | Actual vote % in the Feb 15 assembly elections | Actual seatsin the Feb 15 assembly elections | Vote Share% as per the Opinion poll | Seats as per the Opinion poll in Feb'16 |
| INC | 40.50 | 46.00 | 24.60 | 8.00 | 9.90 | 0.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| BP | 36.80 | 24.00 | 33.10 | 31.00 | 32.90 | 3.00 | 38.00 | 22.00 |
| AAP | 23.50 | 28.00 | 54.70 | 67.00 | 47.00 | 48.00 | ||
| INO and Others | 22.80 | 6.00 | 29.50 | 3.00 | 2.70 | 0.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Total | 100.00 | 70.00 | 100.00 | 70.00 | 100.00 | 70.00 | 100.00 | 70.00 |
Kejriwal rules the roost
Arvind Kejriwal is still going strong in Delhi. Given the almost clean sweep in the Feb 2015 election, AAP has no room to improve and it is very difficult to hold the position. So, there is some decline in terms of votes and seats for AAP but it is still in a strong position.
More importantly after one year, people still support Kejriwal. His retains support among the lower income group and Muslims. The people of East Delhi Lok Sabha constituency are more critical of AAP Govt. and Kejriwal, most likely as BJP has higher support in this constituency.
The performance of AAP Govt. and Kejriwal as Delhi CM has been rated as above average.
People are fully behind Kejriwal on his initiatives like the Odd-Even scheme, scrapping of management quota in nursery admissions, etc. Even supporters of BJP and INC seem to be supporting Kejriwal on these initiatives.
A high 82% said that the Odd-Even scheme in Delhi was a success. Majority of 78% feel that the Odd-Even scheme had helped reduce pollution in Delhi. Even supporters of BJP and INC agree. While the facts on this could be different but people do believe that the Odd-Even scheme helped reduce pollution in Delhi.
People do not think law & order situation and crime against women have improved in Delhi in last one year. Even 44% of AAP supporters feel this way. The opinion seem divided on whether Delhi Police should come under the Delhi Government with 52% saying it should compared to 42% who said otherwise.
For most people the situation has either remained same or improved on public services like street lights, road condition, public transport, and electric supply. Some concern on Water Supply situation as nearly a fifth of the respondents feel that Water Supply situation has deteriorated. Only BPL respondents and those living in JJ / slums said that water supply situation has actually improved. Also, some concern on Waste Disposal situation and General Cleanliness as nearly a third of the respondents feel that Waste Disposal situation and General Cleanliness has deteriorated.
More than half the respondents said they were happy with AAP government’s progress in last one year on Free Water Connection. More than 45% of BJP and INC supporters also feel the same.
More than half the respondents, 56% agreed with Arvind Kejriwal that Central government is not allowing him to work. More than 40% of BJP and INC supporters also feel the same. So, people seem to be aware that the powers of Delhi Govt. are limited and they need support from the Central Govt. for many things. On law & order while people said that situation has not improved but they do not seem to hold AAP govt. responsible for it.
Nearly half of the respondents feel that Kejriwal is acting within his limits in initiating investigation into corruption charges in Delhi District Cricket Association (DDCA). More than 40% of BJP and INC supporters also feel the same.
The incident when Arvind Kejriwal had called Prime Minister Modi a coward and a psychopath, does not seem to have had a negative impact on Kejriwal’s image, say 53% of the respondents. Surprisingly even 52% of BJP supporters felt the same way.
More than half of the respondents feel that AAP was not involved in taking bribes in the auto permit scam. This view is held by people regardless of their voting intention.
Modi is seen as the most popular leader in Delhi, ahead of Kejriwal. However, higher proportion of respondents think that compared to Modi, Arvind Kejriwal is more committed to remove corruption.
Dr. Harsh Vardhan is the clear choice as being the most capable among BJP leaders to counter Arvind Kejriwal in Delhi.
More than half the respondents said that they would not like to see Arvind Kejriwal as PM of India one day. He has a lot of ground to cover before being seen as a national leader.
| If Elections held in Delhi today who will win? | |
| AAP | 48 |
| BJP | 22 |
| CONGRESS | 0 |
| Most Favourite Candidate | |
| Name | % |
| Arvind Kejriwal | 39 |
| Narendra Modi | 50 |
| Rahul Gandhi | 7 |
We asked Delhi few questions about Kejriwal’s performance. Here are the results
Has life improved in the last one year?
More than half of the respondents said that their life has remained the same over last one year, whereas a third claimed that their life has improved in last one year. Sentiment more positive among youngsters, the lower income groups and those living in JJ/slums.
How would you rate the performance of Arvind Kejriwal led AAP Government in Delhi over the last one year
The AAP government has been given an above average rating of 3.42. The rating is higher for among the youngsters and the lower income group
How would you rate the performance of Arvind Kejriwal as CM of Delhi over the last one year
As Delhi CM Arvind Kejriwal has been given an above average rating of 3.36. The rating is higher for among the youngsters and the lower income group.
AAP government in Delhi has scrapped the management quota for nursery admission in private schools providing 75% open seats in private schools. Do you agree with this decision?
Nealry three fourth of the respondents agree with Delhi Govt.’s decision to scrap management quota in nursery admission. Even supporters of BJP and INC seem to be supporting AAP Govt.’s decision.
In your opinion, could you please tell me, whether implementation of Odd-Even scheme in Delhi was a success or a failure?
A high 82% said that the Odd-Even scheme in Delhi was a success. Even supporters of BJP and INC seem to feel the same way.
In your opinion, should Delhi Police come under Delhi Government
The opinion seem divided on this issue with 52% saying that Delhi Police come under Delhi Government compared to 42% who said otherwise.
Do you think there has been any improvement in law and order situation in Delhi city in last one year?
People do not think law & order situation has improved in Delhi in last one year. Even 44% of AAP supporters feel this way.
Can you please tell me whether you would like to see Arvind Kejriwal as Prime Minister of the country one day?
More than half the respondents said that they would not like to see Arvind Kejriwal as PM of India one day. He has a lot of ground to cover before being seen as a national leader.
Between Narendra Modi and Arvind Kejriwal, who would you say appears more committed to remove corruption?
A higher proportion of respondents think that compared to Modi, Arvind Kejriwal is more committed to remove corruption.
Arvind Kejriwal had called Prime Minister Modi a coward and a psychopath in his reaction to raids conducted in offices of Principal Secretary to Chief Minister. Did this incident negatively impact Arvind Kejriwal’s image in your mind?
The incident when Arvind Kejriwal had called Prime Minister Modi a coward and a psychopath, does not seem to have had a negative impact on Kejriwal’s image, say 53% of the respondents. Surprisingly even 52% of BJP supporters felt the same way.
Do you agree with Arvind Kejriwal that Central government is not allowing him to work?
More than half the respondents, 56% agreed with Arvind Kejriwal that Central government is not allowing him to work. More than 40% of BJP and INC supporters also feel the same.
Could you please tell me, whether you are happy with Arvind Kejriwal lead AAP government’s progress in last one year on Free Water Connection
More than half the respondents said they were happy with AAP government’s progress in last one year on Free Water Connection. More than 45% of BJP and INC supporters also feel the same.
Do you think crime against women in Delhi city has decreased in last one year?
People do not think that crime against women in Delhi city has decreased in last one year. Even 44% of AAP supporters feel this way.
Improvement status of public services – Street Lights
For most people street lights situation has either remained same or improved.
Improvement status of public services – Road condition
For most people road condition has either remained same or improved.
Improvement status of public services – Public Transport
For most people Public Transport situation has either remained same or improved.
Improvement status of public services – Electricity Supply
For most people Electric Supply situation has either remained same or improved.