Assembly Election Opinion/Exit Poll, Survey Result, Who will win in Assembly Elections

IndiaToday poll projection for four upcoming election States,India Today survey prediction, IndiaToday Survey shows BJP is win in all four states and Modi is first choice for PM.

No wonder that people have, as the survey findings show, voted for governance instead of a change of guard. Riding on a strong Modi wave, saffron seems to be the colour of change.

1>In Delhi, the survey denies Chief Minister Sheila Dikshit a fourth term though she continues to be the most popular choice for CM. The careful selection of Dr Harsh Vardhan as the BJP's CM candidate seems to have given the party an edge over all others. The poll gives BJP 36 seats, Congress 22 and Aam Aadmi Party 8.

2> In Madhya Pradesh, for example, nearly 60 per cent want the re-election of Chief Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan, who has been at the helm since 2005 when he took over reins from Babulal Gaur. The survey projects the BJP will win a whopping 140 seats in the 240-member State Assembly while the Congress will have to make do with just 78 seats. More than 60 per cent voters aged between 18 and 40 want Chouhan to continue, and he is the choice of 65 per cent of the college-educated.

3>In Chhattisgarh, 56 per cent want to give Chief Minister Raman Singh a third stint despite conceding that insurgency continues to haunt the state. Perhaps, Singh's governance is more reflected in popular schemes, like the one-rupee rice scheme-the precursor of the food security bill. In a 90-member Assembly, the BJP is projected to win 46 while the Congress could bag 42.

4> In Rajasthan, Chief Minister Ashok Gehlot's last-minute efforts to replicate the UPA's popular Central scheme in his own state seems to have changed little. Fifty-one per cent people want a change of guard here. Riding on a strong anti-incumbency wave against Gehlot, former CM Vasundhara Raje is set to make a fierce comeback with 120 seats in an Assembly of 200. The Congress here gets just 76.

The Assembly elections in the five states are being seen as the semi-final to the 2014 General Elections. No wonder that the Congress is wary of opinion polls which have predicted a strong public desire for change.

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