Election Results 2023 Lok Sabha Assembly Candidate India

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Assembly Election Opinion/Exit Poll, Survey Result, Who will win in Assembly Elections

CNN-IBN Pre-poll survey: BJP set to rout Congress in Chhattisgarh, win 61-71 seats, CNN-IBN Survey result,CNN-IBN,BJP,INC, Chhattisgarh, Survey Result.


The survey shows that the Congress is a big loser as the party had won 38 seats in the 2008 elections, while the BJP's score was 49. The Bahujan Samaj Party may get 0-2 seats while smaller parties are likely to have a tally of 1-5 seats. Propelled by a 6 percentage point increase in its vote share, the BJP is all set to decimate the Congress, which is facing the prospects of a 7 percentage point drop in its share.


In the 2008 Assembly elections the BJP got 40.3 per cent of the votes but in October 2013 the party has the support of 46 per cent, while the Congress has slumped to 32 per cent from 38.6 per cent in the last polls.

Opinion poll | Candidtate list | Election Schedule | Delhi News | National News .
In more good news for Chief Minister Raman Singh, pro-incumbency is the state is almost as high as 2008. Then, 51 per cent of the voters wanted to give the state government another chance, and now it is 47 per cent. Over two-thirds (66 per cent) are satisfied with the BJP government's performance, a fall of 6 points from the 2008 level.


Governance, development work and food security are the main reasons cited by those who are satisfied with the Raman Singh government. The food security law of Chhattisgarh government has benefitted many, with 80 per cent saying they receive 35 kg food grain per month at highly subsidised rates, while among the BPL households the figure is as high as 93.


Satisfaction with Raman Singh's performance as Chief Minister also continues to be very high with 69 per cent backing him. Singh remains the most preferred choice for CM, particularly among the upper castes, leading Congress leader Ajit Jogi by almost 18 percentage points .


Factionalism in Congress was also a part of the problems. More people agree than disagree with the statement that the Congress has not given Ajit Jogi the respect he deserves, and this sentiment is stronger among the traditional supporters of the party. In the event of the Congress coming to power, most want Jogi as the chief minister.


While voters see no difference between the Congress and BJP when it comes to corruption, the latter is viewed as being much better for development and for tackling Naxalism. How Chhattisgarh is likely to vote North Chhattisgarh (34 seats) will see a good contest between the BJP and Congress.


While the BJP is ahead, the Congress is not too far behind. But the BJP is ahead of the Congress in Central Chhattisgarh (43 seats) and South Chhattisgarh (13 seats).


In the Naxalism-affected areas, too, the BJP leads the Congress, while in the other regions the ruling party is way ahead of its rival. Seat projection by Dr Rajeeva Karandikar, Director, Chennai Mathematical Institute

SEAT PROJECTIONS FOR CHHATTISGARH

 

Total seats: 90

 

Seats

Seats

Votes

Votes

Votes

Party

2013

(Estimate)

2008

(Actual)

2008

(Actual)

Oct 2013

(Estimate)

Change since

2008

BJP

61-71

50

40.3

46

-7

Congress

16-24

38

38.6

32

+6

BSP

0-2

2

6.1

6

0

Others

1-5

0

15.0

16

+1

 

 

CHHATTISGARH PRE-POLL SURVEY 2013 FINDINGS

 

Methodology for Chhattisgarh Pre Poll Survey 2013

 

The findings presented here are based on a Pre Poll survey conducted by Lokniti, Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS), Delhi, in Chhattisgarh for CNN-IBN and The Week. A total of 1861 persons, randomly selected from the latest electoral rolls, were interviewed between 13th October and 20th October 2013 in 99 locations in 25 constituencies spread across the State.


The Assembly Constituencies were selected using the Probability Proportionate to Size Method. Four polling stations within each of the 25 sampled constituencies were selected using the Systematic Random Sampling (SRS) technique. The respondents were also selected using the SRS method from the most updated electoral rolls of the 100 selected polling stations.


Keeping in mind, the probability of non completion of interviews amongst all the selected respondents we adopted the technique of over sampling of respondents. A total of 2500 randomly selected electors were targeted for interviews in the field, of which 1861 interviews were successfully completed in the stipulated time. The survey could not be conducted in one polling station (see Table 1).

 

Table 1: Methodology of Pre Poll Survey

Survey details

 

Time period when survey was conducted

Oct 13 - Oct 20

Number of Assembly Constituencies surveyed

25

Number of Polling Stations surveyed

99*

Number of respondents targeted

2500

Total respondents achieved (Sample size)

1861

*A total of 100 polling stations were sampled (four per AC) but the survey could not be conducted in one polling station

 

The social profile of the respondents interviewed largely matched the demographic profile of the State. Women comprise 44 per cent of the sample. 13 percent of the sample consists of Scheduled Caste respondents and 31 per cent is made up of Scheduled Tribes.


These numbers are by and large similar to actual Census figures and reflect the representative nature of the sample, although there is an underrepresentation of women which was taken into account while doing the analysis (see Table 1a).

 

Table 1a: Sample profile

Social Background

Census 2011/2001

Pre Poll Survey 2013

Urban

23.2

20.1

Women

49.7

44.4

SC

12.8

12.7

ST

30.6

30.7

Muslim

2.0

3.0

Christian

1.9

2.9

Note: All figures are in percent; figures for Muslims and Christians from Census 2001

 

The interviews were conducted by specially trained field investigators. The respondents were interviewed in the face-to-face interview situation using a structured interview schedule in Hindi. Respondents were mostly interviewed at their home, preferably alone. All voting questions were asked using a dummy ballot paper and dummy ballot box.

 

The estimate of vote shares for different political parties are based on a careful analysis of the respondents’ stated preference of voting for a party as marked on the ballot paper, which carried the elections symbols of all the major political parties in the State. Since all surveys suffer from the problem of over-estimation of votes for big parties and underestimation for smaller parties, the estimate of vote shares was made after carefully adjusting the vote share of smaller parties and independents as base. A comparison of the proportion of important social categories in the total survey sample of a State with their actual proportion in the population of that State was also made while deciding the estimate of vote shares.

 

The fieldwork of the survey in Chhattisgarh was coordinated by Anupama Saxena and Shamshad Ansari (Guru Ghasidas Vishwavidyalaya, Bilaspur). The survey was designed and analysed by a team of researchers at Lokniti-CSDS, Delhi which included Anuradha Singh, Ashish Ranjan, Dhananjai Kumar Singh, Himanshu Bhattacharya, Jyoti Mishra, K.A.Q.A Hilal, Kanchan Malhotra, Nitin Mehta, Shreyas Sardesai and Vibha Attri. Prof. Suhas Palshikar gave his inputs and suggestions. Sanjay Kumar of the CSDS directed the survey.

 

KEY FINDINGS

 

Table 2a: Estimated Votes for Assembly 2013: BJP gains, Cong declines

 

Party

2008

(Actual)

Oct 2013

(Estimate)

Estimated Change since 2008

INC

38.6

32

-7

BJP

40.3

46

+6

BSP

6.1

6

0

Others

15.0

16

+1

Note: All figures are in percent; Estimate for 2013 based on weighted data from pre poll survey.

Question asked in the survey: If the Chhattisgarh assembly elections are held tomorrow then which party will you vote for? Please mark your preference on this sheet of paper and put it in the box.

 

 

Table 2b: BJP voters a little less sure than Cong voters about their vote and may change preference

 

My vote preference will..

Overall

BJP voters

INC voters

Stay the same even on voting day

58

50

66

Can change after seeing candidates

14

15

11

Can’t say

28

36

23

Note: All figures are in percent; Sample size for this question is 1639. Weighted data.

Question asked in the survey: (If answered vote question) The party for which you just voted, are you going to vote for the same on the day of voting or your decision may change on seeing the candidates?

 

Table 3: Pro-incumbency in Chhattisgarh almost as high as 2008

 

Should the ruling State govt. get another chance?

2008 BJP govt.

2013 BJP govt.

Yes

51

47

No

26

25

Can’t say/No opinion

23

28

Note: All figures are in percent and rounded off; the figures for 2008 are from a post poll survey conducted by CSDS during the 2008 Assembly elections; Sample size in 2008 was 1249; Sample size in 2013 is 1861. Weighted data.

Question asked in the survey: Do you think the current BJP government of Chhattisgarh should get another chance?        

 

 

Table 4a: Over two-thirds satisfied with the BJP government’s performance

 

Satisfaction level with State

Government’s performance

2008 BJP govt.

2013 BJP govt.

Satisfied

72

66

Dissatisfied

14

20

Can’t say/No opinion

14

14

Note: All figures are in percent and rounded off; the figures for 2008 are from a post poll survey conducted by CSDS during the 2008 Assembly elections; Sample size in 2008 was 1249; Sample size in 2013 is 1861. Weighted data.

Question asked in the survey: What is your assessment of the work done by the BJP government in Chhattisgarh in the last five

years? Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with it? (Probe further whether fully or somewhat satisfied or dissatisfied)

 

Table 4b: Development and food security were the main reasons cited by those who are satisfied with the govt.


Reasons for satisfaction with the State govt. among those who are satisfied with it.

 

Good governance and Development

30

Food security, cheap food grain

15

Better roads

5

More employment opportunities

4

Better power supply

3

Other smaller reasons

12

Can’t say

31

Note: All figures are in percent and rounded off; Sample size is 1233. Weighted data.

Question asked: (If Fully satisfied or Somewhat satisfied) Why are you satisfied with the State BJP government? (Record answer and consult codebook later for coding)

 

Table 4c: Food security law of Chhattisgarh govt. has benefitted many


Does your household receive 35 kg food grain per month at highly subsidized rates from the Government?

Overall

BPL households

Yes

80

93

No

20

7

Note: All figures are in percent and rounded off; Sample size is 1861. Weighted data.

Question asked: Does your household receive 35 kg food grain per month at highly subsidized rates from the government?        

 

Table 5: Satisfaction with Raman Singh’s performance as CM also continues to be very high


Satisfaction level with CM’s performance

2008

2013

Satisfied

75

69

Dissatisfied

12

19

Can’t say/No opinion

13

12

Note: All figures are in percent and rounded off; the figures for 2008 are from a post poll survey conducted by CSDS during the 2008 Assembly elections; Sample size in 2008 was 1249; Sample size in 2013 is 1861. Weighted data.

Question asked in the survey: How would you assess the performance of Raman Singh as the Chief Minister of Chhattisgarh over the last five years? Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with his performance? (Probe further whether fully or somewhat satisfied or dissatisfied)

 

HOW IS CHHATTISGARH LIKELY TO VOTE?

 

Table 6: Regional pattern


Regions

Mood

North Chhattisgarh (34 seats)

BJP ahead but Cong not far behind

Central Chhattisgarh (43 seats)

BJP comfortably ahead of Cong

South Chhattisgarh (13 seats)

BJP way ahead of Congress

Note: Assessment based on pre poll survey; North Chhattisgarh includes districts of Koria, Surajpur, Balrampur, Sarguja, Jashpur, Raigarh, Korba, Bilaspur, Mungeli, and parts of Janjgir-Champa; Central Chhattisgarh includes a part of Raigarh, parts of Janjgir-Champa, Mahasamund, Balodbazar, Raipur, Gariyaband, Balod, Durg, Bemetara, Kabirdham, Rajnandgaon and parts of Dhamtari; South Chhattisgarh includes Kanker, Kondagaon, Narayanpur, Bastar (Jagdalpur), Dantewada, Bijapur, Sukma and a part of Dhamtari.

 

Table 7: Mood in Naxalism affected and non-Naxalism affected areas


Type of area

Mood

Naxalism affected areas

On the whole BJP leads Congress

Non-Naxalism affected

BJP way ahead of Congress

Note: Naxalism affected areas include the districts of  Koria, Surajpur, Balrampur, Sarguja, Jashpur, Kabirdham, Rajnandgaon, Kanker, Kondagaon, Narayanpur, Bastar (Jagdalpur), Dantewada, Bijapur and Sukma.

 

Table 8: Tribal vote: Gains and Losses compared to 2008


Tribes

INC

BJP

Others

Gond

Losing

marginally

Losses

Gains

Other ST

Losses

Gains

Gains

Note: Assessment based on weighted data from pre poll survey

 

Table 9: Caste and community vote: Gains and Losses compared to 2008

Castes and Communities

Trend

Upper Caste

BJP comfortably ahead of Cong and gaining; Cong has declined further

Upper OBC

BJP continues to be ahead of Cong comfortably

Lower OBC

BJP ahead and gaining since 2008; Cong has gone down further

SC

Cong recovers and ahead of BJP but still a close contest

Note: Assessment based on weighted data from pre poll survey

 

Table 10: Gap between BJP and Congress widest among first time voters


Age group

BJP

INC

18-22 years (first time voters)

55

37

23-25 years

41

32

26-35 years

49

33

36-45 years

48

32

46-55 years

44

28

56+ years

44

36

Note: All figures are in percent; Rest voted for other parties. Sample size for vote preference question is 1599. Weighted data.

 

LEADERSHIP

 

Table 11a: Raman Singh most preferred choice for CM, particularly among Upper Castes

Chief Minister Preference  (open ended question)

Overall

Upper Castes

Raman Singh

32

43

Ajit Jogi

14

10

Charandas Mahant

2

1

Others

10

11

Can’t say

42

35

Note: All figures are in percent; Sample size is 1861. Weighted data.

Question asked: Who would you like to see as the next Chief Minister of Chhattisgarh? (Record name and consult codebook)

 

Table 11b: Popularity of both Raman Singh and Ajit Jogi is down since 2008, but Raman is still way ahead of his main rival 

Year and Election

PREFERENCE FOR CHIEF MINISTER

(open ended question)

 

 

Raman Singh

Ajit Jogi

2003 VS

1

31

2004 LS

28

32

2008 VS

38

23

2009 LS

40

21

2013 VS

32

14

Note: All figures in Columns 2 and 3 are in percent; Rest gave other preferences or had no opinion; Figures from CSDS Surveys during Assembly and Lok Sabha elections. Sample size in 2003 was 1406; Sample size in 2004 was 920; Sample size in 2008 was 1249; Sample size in 2009 was 617; Sample size in 2013 is 1861. Weighted data.

Question asked: Who would you like to see as the next Chief Minister of Chhattisgarh? (Record name and consult codebook)

 

Table 12: Even in direct face off question, Raman leads Jogi by a wide margin but gap narrows among STs and among SCs Jogi leads

Raman or Jogi: Who should be CM?

Overall

Upper Caste

SC

ST

Raman Singh

41

48

34

37

Ajit Jogi

25

18

39

29

None of the two

10

12

2

12

Can’t say

24

22

25

22

Note: All figures are in percent and rounded off; Sample size is 1861. Weighted data.

Question asked: If you were to choose between Ajit Jogi and Raman Singh, whom would you prefer as the next chief minister of Chhattisgarh?

 

Table 13a: More people agree than disagree with the statement that Congress has not given Ajit Jogi the respect he deserves; sentiment stronger among traditional Congress supporters.

Statement – “Congress party has not given Ajit Jogi the respect he deserves”

Overall

Traditional Congress

supporters

Agree

33

46

Disagree

14

16

No opinion        

53

38

Note: All figures are in percent and rounded off; Sample size is 1861. Weighted data.

Question asked: Now I will read out some statements relating to Congress leader Ajit Jogi. You tell me whether you agree or disagree with each of the statements. (If agree then probe whether fully or somewhat, if disagree then probe fully or somewhat) – a. Congress party has not given Ajit Jogi the respect he deserves.

 

Table 13b: In the event of Cong coming to power, most want Jogi as CM; particularly Cong voters

Who should be CM if Congress

comes to power?

Overall

INC voters

BJP voters

Ajit Jogi

32

47

25

Charandas Mahant

15

19

16

Ravindra Choubey

2

2

2

Someone else from Congress

5

2

2

Can’t say

47

30

55

Note: All figures are in percent and rounded off; Sample size is 1861. Weighted data.

Question asked: If the Congress comes to power after the assembly election, then which Congress leader you would like to see as Chief Minister – Ajit Jogi, Charandas Mahant, Ravindra Choubey or someone else?

 

PARTY PERCEPTION

 

Table 14: No difference between Cong and BJP, but BJP viewed as being much better for development

 

Perception of parties

INC

BJP

Both

Neither

No opinion

More corrupt

16

16

36

2

30

More nepotistic

16

13

24

5

42

More faction ridden

10

12

30

3

45

Better for tackling Naxalism

17

19

9

11

44

Better for Chhattisgarh’s development

18

30

9

7

36

All figures are in percent and rounded off; Sample size is 1861. Weighted data.

Question asked: Now I will ask you to compare the two major parties of Chhattisgarh – Congress and BJP. In your opinion which one of these parties is most – a. Corrupt b. Nepotistic c. Faction ridden; And which of these parties is better for d.Tackling naxalism e. Chhattisgarh’s Development

 

GOVERNANCE AND OTHER ISSUES

 

Table 15a: Mixed assessment of Raman Singh’s governance; rated negatively on health, transport law and order and irrigation fronts

 

Over the last five years…

Improved

Worsened

Remained same

Condition of roads in has…

47

39

13

Condition of govt. hospitals has…

24

44

22

Supply of electricity has…

52

32

14

Irrigation facilities

27

36

20

Condition of govt. schools has…

42

34

17

Supply of drinking water has…

52

30

15

Public bus services

7

35

17

Law and order situation has…

21

25

21

Employment generation has..

35

22

21

Note: All figures are in percent and rounded off; the rest had no opinion; Sample size is 1861. Weighted data.

Question asked: Now I will read out few things. You tell me whether each of these has improved, worsened or remained same in your area during last five years of BJP government?

 

Table 15b:  8 out of 10 say prices have increased in the last five years

 

Over the last five years…

Increased

Decreased

Remained same

Prices of essential commodities

88

2

5

Corruption has…

68

6

9

Note: All figures are in percent and rounded off; the rest had no opinion; Sample size is 1861. Weighted data.

Question asked: And what about these, have these increased, decreased or remained the same in the last five years?

 

Table 16: No surprise then that price rise one of the most important election issues

 

Most important election issue (open ended question)

Overall

Development and governance of Chhattisgarh

11

Price rise

10

Employment

6

Condition of roads

4

Corruption

3

Farmers’ issues/problems

2

Food security

2

Water and electricity

1

Education and health

1

Naxalism

1

Other issues

15

Can’t say

44

Note: All figures are in percent and rounded off; Sample size is 1861. Weighted data.

Question asked: While deciding whom to vote for in the upcoming Chhattisgarh Assembly elections, which will be the single most  important election issue for you? (Record exactly and consult codebook later for coding

 

Table 17: Naxalism not a top of the mind issue

 

While voting in the upcoming assembly elections how important will the issue of Naxalism be for you?

Overall

Naxalism

affected areas

Very important

14

15

Somewhat important

22

31

Not at all important

17

17

Can’t say

47

37

Note: All figures are in percent and rounded off; Sample size is 1861. Weighted data.

Question asked: While voting in the upcoming assembly elections how important will the issue of Naxalism be for you – very important, somewhat important, not at all important?

 

STATE OR CENTRAL GOVERNMENT: WHO HAS A BETTER IMAGE?

 

Table 18: Blame for price rise less on the State govt. and more on the Central govt.

 

Which govt. is more responsible for price rise – State or Central?

Overall

State govt. responsible

10

Central govt. responsible

19

Both responsible

39

Neither responsible

1

Can’t say

31

Note: All figures are in percent and rounded off; Sample size is 1861. Weighted data.

Question: Which government do you think is more responsible for rising prices – the Central government or your State government?

 

Table 19: Both Central and State governments viewed as being equally corrupt

 

Corruption rating of Central and State Governments

Very corrupt

Somewhat corrupt

Not much corrupt

Not at all corrupt

No opinion

INC-led UPA govt.

21

26

5

5

43

Chhattisgarh’s BJP govt.

16

28

12

8

36

Note: All figures are in percent and rounded off; this question was asked separately for each government;

Sample size is 1861. Weighted data.

Questions: On the issue of corruption, what is your view about the current Congress led UPA Government. Is it-  very corrupt, somewhat corrupt, very little corrupt or not at all corrupt? On the issue of corruption, what is your view about the current Raman Singh and BJP led Chhattisgarh Government.  Is it very corrupt, somewhat corrupt, very little corrupt or not at all corrupt?

 

Table 20: Much greater satisfaction with BJP led State govt. than Cong led Central govt.

 

Governments’ performance

Satisfied

Dissatisfied

No opinion

INC-led UPA govt.

46

22

32

Chhattisgarh’s BJP govt.

66

20

14

Note: All figures are in percent and rounded off; this question was asked separately for each government;

Sample size is 1861. Weighted data.

Questions asked in the survey: What is your assessment of the work done by the BJP government in Chhattisgarh in the last five years? Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with it? (Probe further whether fully or somewhat satisfied or dissatisfied) Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the performance of the Congress-led UPA government at the Centre over the last four and half years? (Probe further whether ‘fully’ or ‘somewhat’ satisfied or dissatisfied).

 

Table 21: Much greater satisfaction with CM’s performance than PM’s

 

Leaders’ performance

Satisfied

Dissatisfied

No opinion

Manmohan Singh as PM

49

22

29

Raman Singh as CM

69

19

12

Note: All figures are in percent and rounded off; this question was asked separately for each leader;

Sample size is 1861. Weighted data.

Questions asked in the survey: How would you assess the performance of Raman Singh as the Chief Minister of Chhattisgarh

over the last five years? Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with his performance? (Probe further  whether fully or somewhat satisfied or dissatisfied) What is your assessment of the performance of Manmohan Singh as Prime Minister? Are you satisfied with his performance or dissatisfied? (Probe further whether fully or somewhat satisfied or dissatisfied)

 

Table 22: Most voters to vote looking at both State and Centre’s performance

 

Will vote looking at…

Overall

State govt.’s performance

22

Central govt.’s performance

9

Both

33

Neither

5

No opinion

31

Note: All figures are in percent and rounded off; Sample size is 1861. Weighted data.

Question asked in the survey: Some people vote keeping in mind the performance of the state government while others vote keeping in mind the performance of the central government. While voting in the upcoming state assembly elections, whose performance will you consider the most?

 

OTHER ISSUES

 

Table 23: Level of complete satisfaction with BJP MLA’s performance greater than with Cong MLA’s performance

 

MLA’s performance

INC MLA seats  in survey sample

BJP MLA seats in survey sample

Fully satisfied

19

32

Somewhat satisfied

33

25

Somewhat dissatisfied

3

10

Fully dissatisfied

23

22

No opinion

22

11

Note: All figures are in percent and rounded off; Sample size is 1861. Weighted data.

Question asked in the survey: What is your opinion about the performance of the sitting MLA of your constituency? Would you say that you are satisfied or dissatisfied with her/his performance? (Probe further whether ‘fully’ or ‘somewhat’ satisfied or dissatisfied).

 

Table 24: BJP’s yatra doing better than Cong’s yatra

 

Political Yatras

Aware about it

Came to my area

BJP’s Vikas Yatra

66

38

Cong’s Parivartan Yatra

47

16

Note: All figures are in percent and rounded off; rest were not aware/did not know which party’s it is/said it did not come to their area; Sample size is 1861. Weighted data.

Questions asked: Have you heard/read about the Vikas yatra? (If heard) Did this yatra come to your area? Have you heard/read about the Parivartan yatra? (If heard) Did this yatra come to your area?

 

Table 25a: 6 out of 10 have heard of Naxal attack on Cong leaders

 

Have you heard about the deadly Naxal attack on the convoy of the Congress leaders

Overall

Naxalism affected areas

Yes

64

80

No

36

20

Note: All figures are in percent and rounded off; Sample size is 1861. Weighted data.

Question asked: Have you heard about the deadly Naxal attack on the convoy of the Congress leaders?

 

Table 25b: Divided blame for attack among those who have heard

 

Whom do you hold responsible for this attack?

Overall

Naxalism affected areas

Chhattisgarh Government

18

18

Congress leaders for taking the route

13

11

Both govt. and Cong leaders

10

10

Naxals

11

9

Ajit Jogi

3

5

Can’t say

45

47

Note: All figures are in percent and rounded off; Sample size is 1196. Weighted data.

Question asked: ( If heard of the attack) Whom do you hold responsible for this attack – Chhattisgarh Govt. for not providing ample security or the Congress leaders themselves for choosing the wrong route?

 

Table 25c: Majority can’t say if Cong will gain sympathy vote

 

Do you think Congress will gain sympathy votes from this attack during the upcoming elections?

Overall

Naxal affected areas

Yes

33

36

No

16

12

Can’t say

52

52

Note: All figures are in percent and rounded off; Sample size is 1196. Weighted data.

Question asked: (If heard of the attack) Do you think Congress will gain sympathy votes from this attack during the upcoming elections?         

 

Table 26: Justice and dialogue is key to tackling Naxalism

 

Naxal problem should be dealt with by…

Overall

STs

Naxal affected areas

Deploying security forces in large numbers and use maximum force.

12

12

18

By providing justice and addressing the grievances of Adivasis

27

33

37

By pursuing the possibility of a ceasefire and dialogue with the Maoists

14

9

13

Don’t know

47

46

32

Note: All figures are in percent and rounded off; rest of the respondents had no opinion; Sample size is 1861. Weighted data.

Question asked: Now I am going to read out three statements about Naxalism. Please tell me which statement do you agree with most? 1. Naxalism/Maoism should be dealt with by deploying security forces in large numbers and using maximum force.

 2. Naxalism/Maoism should be dealt with by providing justice and addressing the grievances of Adivasis.

so that they no longer have reason to support the Maoists.  3. Naxalism/Maoism should be dealt with by pursuing the possibility of a ceasefire and dialogue with the Maoists.

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