ABP News Opinion Poll, UP Opinion poll 2017, UP assembly polls, Uttar Pradesh assembly election opinion poll, Opinion poll India, Uttar Pradesh, BSP, SP, BJP, UP latest opinion poll March 2016, Uttar Pradesh Opinion/Exit Poll

ABP News Opinion Poll, UP Opinion poll 2017, UP assembly polls, Uttar Pradesh assembly election opinion poll, Opinion poll India, Uttar Pradesh, BSP, SP, BJP, UP latest opinion poll March 2016, Uttar Pradesh Opinion/Exit Poll

New Delhi: It’s an alarming situation for the incumbent government Samajwadi Party, a year before Uttar Pradesh is set to hold state elections.

ABP News’ latest opinion poll that gauges the current mood of UP has revealed that BSP supremo Mayawati will make a comeback in the state by roping in allies if elections were to be held today.

The survey has predicted that BSP is likely to win185 seats in the 403-member assembly. BSP was reduced to 80 seats in the defeat of 2012 polls but the scenario now would let Mayawati return to the helm of affairs in the state.

Live: ABP News Opinion Poll (AUGUST) for UP Assembly polls

SP, on the other hand, is keen on repeating its performance of 2012, but the party is witnessing a wane in its popularity. The survey has found that Samajwadi Party may win only 80 seats (228 in 2012) this time around. In last year’s Lok Sabha polls, it won only five of the 80 seats in the state. The BJP swept the state by winning 73 seats along with allies.

The 2017 election that holds the key to Narendra Modi’s second term in 2019 has suggested that the BJP+ is likely to bag 120 seats but that wouldn’t be enough to form the government. Uttar Pradesh is also crucial because after being routed in Bihar last year, the BJP cannot afford to lose the heartland state.

Despite attaining successes in Gujarat in 2014 and then Bihar in 2015, master poll strategist and public health professional, Prashant Kishor, does not seem to be doing wonders for Congress. The party with RLD is seen winning mere 13 seats while Others in fray bag five.

Here’s a region-wise break-up below:

Important points of the Opinion Poll

Maya ‘Best Suited CM’

BSP Chief Mayawati (31%) has emerged as best suited to become the next CM of UP closely followed by Akhilesh Yadav (30%) of SP. Rajnath Singh (18%) of the BJP was a distant third.

Four key issues

According to the respondents, unemployment, inflation, corruption and poverty are going to be the four most important election issues in the forthcoming Vidhan Sabha Elections to be held during 2017.

SP’s ‘Below Average’ Performance

Performance of the SP Government since last four years has been rated just below average with a mean score of 2.9. 32% respondents gave a rating of Very Good or Good compared to 36% who rated the government performance as Poor or Very Poor. However, Muslim voters feel it is well above average. Similar response received when asked about the performance of the UP Chief Minister, Akhilesh Yadav.

Law & order has become worse

A high proportion of respondents, 60% said that the law and order situation has become worse in last four years of SP Government. Except the Muslim population, 54% of whom feel it has improved, the response is same across the demographics. Two thirds of the respondents said that they have not seen or heard about any development work undertaken by the Government in the last four years. Even half of the Muslim voters agree to this view. Nearly two-third respondents were dissatisfied as govt unable to prevent crimes against women.

Constant threat to religious harmony

More than half of the respondents were dissatisfied with the current government in maintaining the religious harmony among people. However, half of the Muslim voters feel otherwise and the opinion is divided among other minority religions. Controlling the law and order situation is a big concern; nearly two-thirds of the respondents recorded their dissatisfaction with the current UP Government on this count.

BSP less corrupt

The current SP Government led by Akhilesh Yadav has been seen as more corrupt compared to the previous Mayawati led BSP government in UP. This perception is higher among the Hindus and BPL respondents.

62% satisfied with BJP-led NDA in Centre

62% of the respondents said that they were satisfied when asked about the performance of the current BJP led Central Government. But more than half of the Muslim voters felt dissatisfied with the Central Government.

Modi still popular

Narendra Modi emerges as the most popular leader in Uttar Pradesh. Mayawaiti comes in at second position closely followed by the current Chief Minister, Akhilesh Yadav.

src: abplive

• Prev
• Next