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Lok sabha election 2014 " Opinion poll & Exit Poll ".

Lok sabha election Opinion poll 2014, lok Sabha opinion poll projections by different news channels and agencies, Recent updated opinion poll , ABP news-Nielsen Opinion poll, Times NOW-C Voter opinion poll projection, India today group projected  mood of the nation for upcoming lok sabha poll 2014, IBN Live opinion poll prediction.

Exit poll predictions by agencies.

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Exit Poll for Lok Sabha Election 2014
Alliance	Time Now-ORG	CNN-IBN CSDS	Headlines Today- Cicero	ABP News- Nielsen	News24 Today's chanakya	Cvoter India TV
NDA	249	276	272	281	340	289
UPA	148	97	115	97	70	101
Others	146	170	156	170	133	153

Click Here to read full coverage about Latest Exit Poll updates

Opinion poll predictions by different agencies.

Opinion Poll Projection By Different Agencies
All India Forecast (543 Seats)
Alliances	NDTV	ABP-Neilson
*BJP+	275	226
*Cong+	111	101
Others	161	186
BJP Projected to win 214 seats/ Cong projected to win 92 seats

 

The largest parties after BJP and Congress would be Trinamool with 30 seats, AIADMK with 22, SP with 14 and BJD with 13. DMK, with its allies, is likely to win 14 seats and the Left 22.

AAP is projected to win just one seat in Delhi and none elsewhere, at least in the states for which details were available, which included all those with seven seats or more. (Know the Complete Covrage here )

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 NDTV Opinion Poll Projection

All India Forecast (543 Seats)
Alliances	seats	Change	Votes
*BJP+	259	118	32.90%
*Cong+	123	108	26.90%
Others	161	10	40.20%
BJP Projected to win 214 seats/ Cong projected to win 104 seats

 

Times NOW-C Voter national poll projection

Bharatiya Janata Party will emerge as the front-runner in the upcoming general election, according to the Times NOW-C Voter national poll projection.The latest pre-poll survey predicts a big surge for BJP from the last election, taking the seat count for the National Democratic Alliance that it leads to 227, just 55 short of a simple majority. That compares with 159 Lok Sabha seats for NDA in 2009. The findings are in line with those of recent opinion polls.

Lok Sabha opinion Poll 2014
Parties/Front	Election 2009		Feb forecast 2014
	Seats	Vote Share	Seats	Vote Share
UPA	259	36	101	22
NDA	159	26	227	36
Others	125	38	215	42

 

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Four months ahead of Lok Sabha poll, ABP news-Nielsen Opinion poll predicts a massive gain for BJP-led NDA and a disastrous rout for the Congress-led UPA.

The survey says that NDA, of which Narendra Modi is the Prime Ministerial candidate, would get 226 seats (BJP alone would get 210 seats) while the Congress-led UPA would end up with mere 101 seats in the Lok Sabha election, which is due to be held by the mid of the year. Left parties would get 30 while 186 seats would go to others.

 

ABP Nielsen Survey
Parties	Seats projection	Percentage
NDA	226	31%
UPA	101	23%
Others	186	41%
Left	30	5%

 

 

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India Today Group Mood of the Nation poll

The opinion poll gives the Congress-led United Progressive Alliance (UPA) only around 100 seats, down by over 150 seats in the current Lok Sabha. It also underlines the significance of a possible Third Front in the forthcoming Lok Sabha election as the non-UPA, non-NDA parties and Independents are expected to win 220-odd seats.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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National projection: (IBNLive)

National Parties(Allies):

 

Projected seats in Lok sabha poll 2014
Projected Seats for BJP+( NDA)	Projected Seats for Congress+( UPA)
(BJP + Shiv Sena + Shiromani Akali Dal) - 211-231	(Congress + NCP + Kerala allies + JMM) - 107-127
BJP: 192-210	Congress : 92-108
BJP Allies: 13-19	Congress Allies : 13-21

 

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Projected Seat for Regional Parties & Others (Left Front/Third Front/State Parties) Loksabha Poll 2014:

Projected Seat for Regional Parties & Others (Left Front/Third Front/State Parties) Loksabha Poll 2014:
Party	Projected Seats
Trinamool Congress (TMC)	20-28 Loksabha Seats
YSR Congress Party	11-19 Loksabha Seats
Biju Janata Dal (BJD)	10-16 Loksabha Seats
Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP)	10-16 Loksabha Seats
All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (AIADMK)	15-23 Loksabha Seats
Left Front	15-23 Loksabha Seats
Telugu Desam Party (TDP)	9-15 Loksabha Seats
Samajwadi Party (SP)	8-14 Loksabha Seats
Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK)	7-13 Loksabha Seats
Aam Aadmi Party (AAP)	6-12 Loksabha Seats
Janata Dal United (JDU)	7-13 Loksabha Seats
Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD)	6-10 Loksabha Seats
Telangana Rashtra Samithi (TRS)	4-8 Loksabha Seats
Janata Dal Secular (JDS)	4-8 Loksabha Seats

 

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CNN-IBN-Lokniti-CSDS National Election Tracker Lok Sabha 2014

Assumptions: According to the findings overall 27 per cent respondents have answered that they vote for the Congress while 34 per cent people want to vote for the BJP.
The UPA allies have just 1 per cent backing and BJP allies have just 2 per cent backing nationally. The BSP 3 per cent, Left Front 4 per cent, Samajwadi Party 3 per cent, AAP 4 per cent and others have 22 per cent backing respectively.
While the BJP has gained 7 per cent votes in the last six months, the Congress has lost 1 per cent.
If the elections are held in January 2014, the UPA is expected get 28 per cent, NDA is expected to get 36 per cent and others are expected to get 36 per cent votes respectively.

 

As per geographical constituencies lies in different directions of Country:

Elaborate Survey as per geographical constituencies,lies in North-South-East-West India: (Source: ABP-Nielsen)

In 151 constituencies of North India, the NDA would win 82 seats, UPA 25 while 44 seats would go to others, if the election is held today, the Opinion poll says.

Northern India (151)
NDA	82
UPA	25
Left	0
Others	44

According to the projection for 134 Lok Sabha seats of South India, the NDA would get 19 seats, UPA 26, Left 13 and 76 seats for others, if the election was conducted today.

Southern India (134)
NDA	19
UPA	26
Left	13
Others	76(24 for AIADMK)

 

In 116 constituencies of Western Indian, the NDA is predicted to get 82 seats while Congress-led UPA would end up with mere 28. Six seats would go to others, the survey says.

Western India (116)
NDA	82
UPA	28
Left	0
Others	6

 

Of 142 seats of East India, NDA would win 43 seats, UPA 22, Left 17 and 60 seats would go to Others, the survey says.

 

Eastern India (142)
NDA	43
UPA	22
Left	17
Others	60

 

In Depth Election Opinion Polls 2014:

CNN-IBN-Lokniti-CSDS National Election Tracker Lok Sabha 2014
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