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Swarajya-5Forty3 Pre-Poll Survey: Neck To Neck In Bihar,bihar opinion poll 2015,Bihar Election Opinion Poll, Bihar Opinion poll 2015, Who will win in Bihar polls, Bihar Election Survey Result,

Swarajya-5Forty3 Pre-Poll Survey: Neck To Neck In Bihar,bihar opinion poll 2015,Bihar Election Opinion Poll, Bihar Opinion poll 2015, Who will win in Bihar polls, Bihar Election Survey Result

Exclusive report on the Swarajya-5Forty3 Pre-poll survey, conducted in the politically crucial state of Bihar barely two months before it goes into elections. 

Barely 6 students are shouting slogans carrying the effigy of the Vice Chancellor while other youngsters hardly give them a second glance. After a few minutes of sloganeering under the banner of AIDSO (All India Democratic Students Organization, a communist trade union style students group that once attracted a lot of youth), finally they manage to burn the effigy before dispersing.

In Patna, one senses the mood of “political change” in the air, or maybe it is because of all these agitations and strikes against the state government in the capital that one is blindsided by the surroundings. In Patna, one can see hundreds of hoardings of Nitish Kumar in yellow background majestically proclaiming the progress of this inherently backward state while we travel through impossibly dilapidated roads filled with potholes. In Patna, one wonders if this is what we so eloquently describe as “anti-incumbency” – this giant portrait of a Chief Minister proclaiming progress while thousands of people are agitating and angry.

Also Read :  Bihar Election Schedule 

IndiaTV - C Voter live Bihar opinion Poll 2015

Bihar Development CVoter Pre-Poll Survey

A group of 5 research students and a dozen data collection fieldworkers travelled across nine districts of Bihar between July 28th and August 11thto understand what really matters to the Bihari voters. Their job was to simply quantify the Bihari voter’s mind beyond the easy construct of inflation & corruption and also in the process to define anti-incumbency in a clear structured manner.

Q.1 Bihar concerns?

Area

Percentage

Agriculture

33

Electricity

21

Education

20

Law and order

10

Various localized issues

9

Don’t know/ Can't say

7

 1.JPG

Q.2  Who is better suited as Chief Minister?

Candidate

Percentage

Nitish Kumar

38

Sushil K Modi

16

Jitan R Manjhi

14

Ram V Paswan

6

Others

16

Can't say

10

 2

Q.3 Voter projection for different Alliance?

Alliance Vote Share
JDU Alliance 42
BJP alliance 39
Others 8
Undecided/ Confused 11

 4

Q.4 Caste wise vote share of Alliances?

Vote Share
Alliance Upper Caste OBC MBC Dalit Muslims
BJP alliance 81 24 31 39 14
JDU Alliance 15 70 55 40 77
Others 1 2 2 4 7
Undecided/ Confused 3 4 12 17 2

 3

SRC: swarajyamag

 

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