Assembly Election Opinion/Exit Poll, Survey Result, Who will win in Assembly Elections
ABP News-Nielsen opinion poll predict BJP lead in Uttar Pradesh with 38 seats, ABP News-Nielsen, ABP News-Nielsen opinion poll for UP Lok sabha election 2014, opinion poll, ABP News-Nielsen Opinion poll for Uttar Pradesh projection 2014, ABP News-Nielsen
- Details
- Category: Opinion Poll
- Last Updated: Thursday, 22 January 2015 20:56
|
Party |
Seats Projection |
|
BJP |
38 |
|
Congress-RLD |
11 |
|
BSP |
12 |
|
SP |
1 |
|
AAP |
1 |
According to the poll, Congress, on its own, is likely to win just 7 seats, compared to 21 in the 2009 elections. There is a downtrend from the previous opinion poll held in January, which projected 8 seats for the Congress. The vote share of the party has also dropped from 18.4% in 2009 to 13% in 2014.
BSP too seems to be on a downward trend, with number of seats for the party coming down from 20 in 2009 to 17 in the current survey. The party’s vote share is 23% Vote share of the ruling SP is 16% currently, the opinion poll has predicted.
In 2009, the vote share of the party had been 23.5%. In terms of seats, the party looks low at 12 seats; in the previous election, SP had won 23 Lok Sabha seats.
With barely a few months in existence, AAP has managed to gather 3% of the vote share in UP, but isn’t seen winning even a single, the poll has predicted.
In keeping with the continuing trend in recent opinion polls, BJP has emerged as the largest party from the state, with 34% of the vote share, taking it to 38 seats. In the previous Lok Sabha elections, BJP had a vote share of 17.3% with 10 seats.
The Survey was conducted between March 9- March 16, 2014. More than 4,500 people across the country were interviewed for the poll.