New survey prediction by India Today Group, Narendra Modi ahead of rivals in Varanasi, will bag 56% votes.

New survey prediction by India Today Group, Narendra Modi ahead of rivals in Varanasi, will bag 56% votes.

According to the new survey prediction by India Today Group BJP Prime Ministrial Candidate Narendra Modi is leap and bound ahead of his rivals in the crucial Lok Sabha constituency of Varanasi.

According to the poll conducted by India Today Group and Cicero,

• " Modi's projected share of votes will place him far ahead of Ajay Rai of the Congress (15 %), Arvind Kejriwal of the Aam Aadmi Party (10 %), Kailash Nath Chaurasia of the Samajwadi Party (9 %) and Vijay Prakash Jaiswal of the Bahujan Samaj Party (7%) . "(Elections 2014: Complete Coverage about Varanasi Poll)

When respondents were asked whether Modi's decision to contest from Varanasi would benefit the BJP in Uttar Pradesh, Bihar and other Hindi-speaking states, 51% replied in the affirmative. Varanasi is a part of Uttar Pradesh's Poorvanchal belt, and the politics of the region has an influence on neighbouring Bihar, where six seats will go to the polls in the last phase on May 12.

Cast Factor plays an important role in varanasi .

• Significantly, Modi stands to get the backing of more than 40 % voters from almost all communities. The Jatavs, who have traditionally backed Mayawati's BSP, and Muslims, who have usually supported the Congress, are the only exceptions. Also, 78% of other backward caste (OBC) voters are expected to back the Gujarat chief minister.
• According to the poll, Modi is the choice of 77% of Varanasi's Brahmins, 80 % of Rajputs, 81 % of Vaishyas, 67 % of Bhumihars, 76 % of other upper castes, 65 % of Kumri-Koeris and 53 % of other Dalits.
• Among the Jatavs, 44 % are expected to back the BSP and 33 %, the BJP. 40% of Muslims are projected to vote for the Congress, 21 % for AAP and 17 % for the BJP.(Elections 2014: Complete Coverage of final and 9th pahse polling)

Rural and Urban Area Voters:-

• The gap between the BJP's share of votes in the rural and urban areas of Varanasi, one of two constituencies from where Modi is contesting the polls, is not very wide either. The party is expected to win 49 % of the rural voteshare and 61 % of the urban.

India's next prime minister

• When asked who they wanted as India's next prime minister, 57 % of the respondents named Modi, 12 % Rahul Gandhi and 10 % Arvind Kejriwal. 9% voted for SP chief Mulayam Singh Yadav and 7 % for BSP president Mayawati.

Who is the best choice for varanasi

• On a specific question on who among Modi, Rai and Kejriwal better understood the issues and people of Varanasi, 52% voted for the BJP candidate.(Elections 2014: Complete Coverage of final and 9th pahse polling)

Media Coverage

• Modi got 7.5 times more TV coverage than Rahul. Research by a Delhi-based thinktank has revealed that primetime news coverage has been overwhelmingly dominated by BJP prime ministerial candidate Narendra Modi.
• His main rivals, Congress vicepresident Rahul Gandhi and AAP's Arvind Kejriwal, trail Modi by huge margins to occupy the third and second positions, respectively, the Centre for Media Studies Media Lab study has revealed. In fact, Modi got almost 7.5 times the coverage Rahul did. The research - conducted over 61 days between March 1 and April 30, 2014 - was based on primetime (8-10pm) election coverage by five major news channels.(Elections 2014: Complete Coverage about Varanasi Poll)
• Modi-related news made up 33.1 per cent (2,575 minutes) of the entire coverage, while Kejriwal and Rahul got 10.31 (799 minutes) and 4.33 per cent (336 minutes), respectively.
  

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