Nitish Kumar-Lalu Prasad alliance has an edge over the BJP: Survey
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- Category: Bihar Political News
- Last Updated: Monday, 27 July 2015 16:15
The Nitish Kumar-Lalu Prasad alliance has an edge over the BJP and its allies in poll-bound Bihar and would romp to victory if polls were to be held today, according to a survey by AC-Neilson.
The grand alliance of the Rashtriya Janata Dal and Janata Dal-United, which has been wooing OBC and Muslim voters, would bag 129 seats with a vote share of 43%.
| Party wise Seat Projection | |
| Party | Seats Projected |
| JDU | 99 |
| RJD | 24 |
| BJP | 87 |
| HAM-Secular | 16 |
| others | 7 |
The BJP, allied with Lok Janshakti Party (LJP) of Ram Vilas Paswan, Former chief minister Jitan Ram Manjhi’s Hindustan Awami Morcha -Secular (HAM-Secular) and Rashtriya Loktantrik Samata Party (RLSP) of Upenndra Prasad Kushwaha, would get 112 seats with a 32% vote share.
If elections were to be held today, the BJP would win 87 seats, Jitan Ram Manjhi’s group 16, the JD-U 99, and the RJD 24. Seven seats would go to others.
The Bihar assembly has 243 seats and the erstwhile BJP-JD-U alliance had swept the 2010 polls by bagging 206 seats. The JD-U had won 115 seats while the BJP won 91.
| Alliance seats projection | ||
| Alliance | Seats Projected | Vote Share |
| JDU+RJD | 129 | 43% |
| BJP+LJP+HAM-Secular+RLSP | 112 | 32% |
According to the survey, Kumar, with 52% support, is the most popular candidate for the chief minister’s post, followed by BJP’s Sushil Modi at 42%. Kumar also had a higher appeal among Muslim voters, according to the survey.
Overall, around 54% respondents felt Kumar should be given another chance to be chief minister, with 42% rooting for former deputy chief minister Modi.
According to the opinion poll, the NDA is expected to lead in Bhojpur and Magadh regions because of Manjhi’s appeal, while the RJD-JD-U alliance along with Congress is likely to dominate Seemanchal, east Bihar and Mithilanchal.
In Tirhut, the RJD-JD-U alliance and the Congress may get 38 seats while the NDA could bag 32.
A total of 56% of respondents felt Manjhi’s rebellion against the JD-U would benefit the BJP while 38% said Kumar had benefited from the development.
The survey suggested that the JD-U and its allies would get 57% of the vote share and the BJP and its allies 41%.
| If voting takes place right now, what will be vote distribution? | |
| Alliance | Vote Share |
| BJP+ | 41% |
| JDU+ | 57% |
| Others | 2% |
The survey covered 2,650 respondents in Patna, Gaya, East Champaran and Muzaffarpur.
SRC: hindustantimes