ABP News- Nielsen opinion poll: BJP to get majority with 45 seats, Kejriwal most popular CM candidate in Delhi,ABP News-Nielsen Dec Opinion Poll, Most popular choice Delhi CM
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- Category: Delhi political News
- Last Updated: Thursday, 22 January 2015 21:16
ABP News- Nielsen opinion poll: BJP to get majority with 45 seats, Kejriwal most popular CM candidate in Delhi
NEW DELHI: Will the Narendra Modi wave sweep Delhi too when the capital goes to polls early next year? According to an opinion poll, BJP is likely to emerge as the largest party and cross the magic figure with 45 seats in upcoming polls to the 70-member Delhi assembly.
There is a bit change but ‘Modi magic’ continued in the national capital which will help the BJP to get 45 seats in Delhi if elections held today while AAP will win 17 seats, predicted ABP News-Nielsen opinion poll.
BJP will get 38 per cent vote share, predicts ABP News-Nielsen opinion poll, AAP predicted to get 17 seats with 27 per cent vote share and Congress to bag 7 seats in the 70-seat House in Delhi.
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ABP News-Nielsen opinion poll |
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Party |
Vote Share% as per the Opinion poll in Nov '14 |
Seats as per the Opinion poll in Nov '14 |
Vote Share% as per the Opinion poll in Dec '14 |
Seats as per the Opinion poll in Dec '14 |
|
INC |
22% |
5 |
24% |
7 |
|
BJP |
38% |
46 |
38% |
45 |
|
BSP |
5% |
0 |
5% |
0 |
|
AAP |
26% |
18 |
27% |
17 |
|
IND |
3% |
0 |
3% |
1 |
|
Others |
6% |
1 |
3% |
0 |
|
Total |
100% |
70 |
100% |
70 |
As per the opinion poll, around half of the respondents feel that BJP would form the government in the upcoming elections in Delhi. Around 38 per cent feel that Aam Aadmi Party should form the government.
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Which Party will form Govt. in Delhi? |
|
|
AAP |
38 |
|
BJP |
50 |
|
BSP |
1 |
|
INC |
8 |
|
Others |
0 |
|
None |
0 |
|
Don’t know/Can’t say |
4 |
|
Total |
100 |
According to the ABP News-Nielsen opinion poll, Arvind Kejriwal of AAP emerges as most preferred candidate with 43 per cent for the position of Chief Minister of Delhi, followed by BJP's Dr. Harsh Vardhan.
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ABP News-Nielsen opinion poll- Most preferred CM Candidate For Delhi |
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|
CM candidate |
As per the Opinion poll in Nov '14 |
As per the Opinion poll in Dec '14 |
|
Arvind Kejriwal |
39% |
43% |
|
Dr. Harsh Vardhan |
38% |
39% |
|
Sheila Dikshit |
7% |
5% |
|
Satish Upadhyay |
-- |
3% |
|
Jagdish Mukhi |
5% |
3% |
|
Arvinder Singh Lovely |
-- |
2% |
|
Ajay Maken |
-- |
1% |
|
Any other (SPECIFY) |
-- |
0 |
|
Don’t know/ Can’t say |
-- |
3% |
As per the opinion poll, at an overall level majority (65%) of the respondents have rated the performance of Arvind Kejriwal government as 'Good' and 'Very Good'.
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ABP News-Nielsen opinion poll- Satisfied with the work done by Arvind Kejriwal in his 49 days tenure |
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|
Responce |
As per the Opinion poll in Dec '14 |
As per the Opinion poll in Nov '14 |
|
Very Good |
30% |
61% says Yes |
|
Good |
35% |
38% says No |
|
Average |
23% |
1 % says don’t Know |
|
Poor |
8% |
|
|
Very Poor |
3% |
|
|
Don't Know / Can't Say |
1% |
|
|
Total |
100% |
|
According to the ABP News-Nielsen opinion poll predictions, majority (74%) of the respondents feel that performance of Narendra Modi led BJP government has been 'Good' and 'Very Good'.
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ABP News-Nielsen opinion poll- Narendra Modi led BJP government |
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|
Response |
As per the Opinion poll in Dec '14 |
|
Very good |
33% |
|
Good |
41% |
|
Average |
18% |
|
Poor |
5% |
|
Very Poor |
1% |
|
Don't Know /Can't Say |
1% |
|
Total |
100% |
Narendra Modi is the most popular leader in Delhi with 58% while former CM Kejriwal is on second position with 33 per cent vote share, the opinion poll predicted. Rahul Gandhi is on third rank in this list.
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ABP News-Nielsen Opinion Poll : Most popular leader in Delhi |
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|
Response |
As per the Opinion poll in Nov '14 |
As per the Opinion poll in Dec '14 |
|
Narendra Modi |
63% |
58 |
|
Arvind Kejriwal |
25% |
33 |
|
Rahul Gandhi |
12% |
7 |
|
None |
-- |
1 |
|
Don't Know / Can't Say |
-- |
2 |
As per the opinion poll, Inflation, sanitation, drinking water and unemployment are the more important issues being faced by the people. Sanitation a bigger issue in urban areas where as law and order and transport problems matter more in rural area.
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ABP News-Nielsen Opinion Poll : What is the big issues in Delhi ? |
|
|
Inflation (Price rise) |
39% |
|
Sewage/ Sanitation Problem / Water logging |
30% |
|
Unavailability of drinking water |
27% |
|
Unemployment |
21% |
|
Increased power tariff |
14% |
|
Bad condition of roads |
12% |
|
Electricity problem |
11% |
|
Maintain law and order |
9% |
|
Justice for poor |
6% |
|
No work done for welfare of girl child / women |
4% |
|
Poverty in the state |
4% |
|
Transportation Problem |
3% |
|
Terrorism Problem |
2% |
|
No medical care / Lack of Health care systems |
2% |
|
No provision for education to all the children |
2% |
|
Communal harmony/ minorities protection |
1% |
|
No reservation of jobs for backward classes |
1% |
|
Violence in Politics |
1% |
|
Environmental Issues / Pollution Problem condition |
1% |
|
No help to aged people / handicaps / widows |
1% |
According to the ABP News-Nielsen opinion poll, about a third of the respondents feel the controversial comment made by Sadhvi Niranjan Jyoti would have no impact on BJP while another third of the respondents feel that this statement. Majority (72%) of respondents condemn the statement made by Sadhvi Niranjan Jyoti. Even those intending to vote for BJP (69%) condemn the statement made by her.
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Response |
As per the Opinion poll in Dec '14 |
|
It will benefit BJP |
14% |
|
It will have no impact |
33% |
|
It will harm BJP |
32% |
|
Don't Know /Can't Say |
21% |
|
Total |
100% |
As per the opinion poll, two thirds of the respondents (67%) agreed that the law and order has deteriorated in Delhi. Also 83% of the respondents feel that Delhi should be given full statehood.
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Response |
As per the Opinion poll in Dec '14 |
|
It will benefit BJP |
14% |
|
It will have no impact |
33% |
|
It will harm BJP |
32% |
|
Don't Know /Can't Say |
21% |
|
Total |
100% |
The opinion poll was conducted by ABP News-Nielsen in 35 assembly constituencies with 6409 respondents from 4th December, 2014 to 8th December, 2014